Jim Caviezel winning for the Passion? It would be a sin:). And i don't think that Maia Morgstern had a performance good enough to win, but she deserves a nomination.And i think that Hristo Shopov, who plays Pilates, deserves a nomination too.For movie and directing, no way.

Oh, one more thing:Cinderella Man opens only next year.

You're right, The Guy from Rio, I guess the release date has been pushed until early Feb 2005, because of a shoulder injury Russell Crowe received. There's still a chance it'll make it for this years Oscars, so I'm going to leave it on my list for now. =)

My list is this at this moment,it may change,of course(* for winners):
Picture:
Alexander
The Aviator*
J.M Barrie's Neverland
The Terminal
Troy

Director:
Oliver Stone(Alexander)
Martin Scorcese(The Aviator)*
Lars Von Trier(Dogville)
Robert Altman(Paint)
Wolfang Petersen(Troy)

Actor:
Johnny Depp(Neverland)
Leonardo di Caprio(The Aviator)*
Colin Farrell(Alexander)
Tom Hanks(The Terminal)
Geoffrey Rush(The Life and Death of Peter Sellers)

Actress:
Cate Blanchett(Miss Potter)
Nicole Kidman(Birth or Dogville)
Juliane Moore(Freedomland or The Forgotten)
Naomi Watts(Stay)
Kate Winslet(Eternal Sunshine)*

Supporting Actor:
Morgan Freeman(A Unfinished Life)
Dustin Hoffman(Neverland)
Anthony Hopkins(Alexander)
Peter O'Toole(Troy)*
Hristo Shopov(The Passion)

Supporting actress:
Cate Blanchett(The Aviator)*
Julia Roberts(Closer)
Naomi Watts(The Assassination of Richard Nixon)
Kate Winslet(Neverland)
Catherine Zeta-Jones(The Terminal)

But Brasilian critics are saying that Troy is not that good...

What about screenplay? Eternal Sunshine takes it home Original Screenplay, my bet.

Ranked in order for chance at nomination... * for winner

Picture:
1.) Troy*
2.) Alexander
3.) Aviator
4.) J.M. Barrie's Neverland
5.) The Terminal
...............................
6.) Proof
7.) Vanity Fair
8.) Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind
9.) The Life Aqautic
10.) An Unfinished Life

Actor:
1.) Leonardo Dicraprio, The Aviator
2.) Johnny Depp, Neverland*
3.) Collin Ferrell, Alexander
4.) Tom Hanks, The Terminal
5.) Jim Carey, Sunshine*
*Sorry can't decided*
.................................
6.) Liam Neeson, Kinsey
7.) Bill Murray, The Life Aquatic
8.) Robert Redford, An Unfinished Life
9.) Gael Garcia Bernal, Bad Education
10.) Jude Law, Closer

Director:
1.) Martin Scorcese, Aviator*
2.) Oliver Stone, Alexander
3.) Wolfgang Peterson, Troy
4.) Marc Foster, Neverland
5.) Robert Altman, Paint
.................................
6.) Steven Speilburg, Terminal
7.) John Madden, Proof
8.) Lasse Hallström, An Unfinished Life
9.) Wes Anderson, The Life Aquatic
10.) M. Night Shyamalan, The Village

Actress:
1.) Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
2.) Reese Witherspoon, Vanity Fair*
3.) Nicole Kidman, Birth
4.) Jennifer Lopez, An Unfinished Life
5.) Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
...................................
6.) Nicole Kidman, Dogville
7.) Juliette Binoche, Bee Season
8.) Julianne Moore, The Forgotten
9.) Claire Danes, Shopgirl
10.) Julia Roberts, Closer


-I'm really tired so hear are just my predicted winners for some other major categories...

Supp Actor:
*Peter O'toole, Troy*

Supp Actress:
*Cate Blanchett, The Aviator*

Orig. Screenplay:
*Eternal Sunshine*

Adap. Screenplay:
*Troy*

Animated Feature:
*The Incredibles*

That post above was me sorry...

2005 Oscar Predictions:

Best Picture:
The Aviator
Closer
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
J.M. Barrie's Neverland
The Passion of the Christ

In the Running:
Alexander
The Life Aquatic
Stay
The Terminal
The Village

Best Director:
Wes Anderson, The Life Aquatic
Mel Gibson, The Passion of the Christ
Michel Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Mike Nichols, Closer
Martin Scorcese, The Aviator

In the Running:
Marc Forster, J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Lasse Hallstrom, An Unfinished Life
Oliver Stone, Alexander
Steven Spielberg, The Terminal
Robert Zemekis, The Polar Express

Best Actor:
Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Jim Caviezel, The Passion of the Christ
Johnny Depp, J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Jude Law, Closer
Ewan McGregor, Stay

In the Running:
Johnny Depp,The Libertine
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jude Law, Alfie
Bill Murray, The Life Aquatic
Robert Redford, An Unfinished Life

Best Actress:
Nicole Kidman, Dogville
Julianne Moore, Freedomland
Natalie Portman, Closer
Naomi Watts, Stay
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

In the Running:
Judi Dench, Ladies in Lavender
Jennifer Lopez, An Unfinshed Life
Natalie Portman, The Smoker
Kate Winslet, J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Resse Witherspoon, Vanity Fair

Best Supporting Actor:
Willem Dafoe, The Life Aquatic
Dustin Hoffman, J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Anthony Hopkins, Alexander
Jude Law, The Aviator
Peter O'Toole, Troy

In the Running:
John Malkovich, The Libertine
Joaquin Phoenix, The Village
Christopher Walken, Romance and Cigarettes
Tom Wilkinson, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Owen Wilson, The Life Aquatic

Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Maia Morgenstern, The Passion of the Christ
Julia Roberts, Closer
Susan Sarandon, Alfie
Kate Winslet, J.M. Barrie's Neverland

In the Running:
Cate Blanchett, The Life Acquatic
Kirsten Dunst, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Anjelica Houston, The Life Aquatic
Samantha Morton, The Libertine
Catherine Zeta Jones, The Terminal

Best Original Screenplay:
The Aviator
Birth
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
J.M. Barrie's Neverland
The Life Aquatic

Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Assassination of Richard Nixon
Closer
The Passion of the Christ
The Phantom of the Opera
The Polar Express

Here are my predictions (*** for winner)

BEST PICTURE

Alexander
J.M. Barrie's Neverland
The Aviator ***
The Passion of the Christ
Troy

Early running but I think the aviator has the advantage. Other threats could come from:

Closer
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The Life Aquatic
The Terminal
Stay

BEST DIRECTOR

Mel Gibson - The Passion of the Christ
Martin Scorcese - The Aviator
Wolfgang Peterson - Troy ***
Robert Altman - Paint
Oliver Stone - Alexander

Martin Scorcese has been subbed may times, and I think this will be no different. The field is strong, and there are more cinematically strong films, including Troy.

This category may see some surprises, other threats include:

Steven Spielberg - The Terminal
Marc Forster - J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Lasse Hallstrom - An Unfinished Life
Wes Anderson - The Life Aquatic


BEST ACTOR

Jim Caviezel - The Passion of the Christ
Johnny Depp - J.M. Barrie's Neverland ***
Leonardo Dicraprio, The Aviator
Colin Farrell - Alexander
Tom Hanks - The Terminal

Sorry to Jim carrey fans, I don't see him nominated, but he is a threat to others, despite the films genre. As for the five above, there is nothing to choose between them, I would have to see all of the films before making a judgement, so this is a rough estimate.

BEST ACTRESS


Cate Blanchet - The Aviator ***
Kate Winslet - J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Reese Witherspoon - Vanity Fair
Julianne Moore - Freedomland
and
EITHER
Gwyneth Paltrow - Proof
OR
Julia Roberts - Closer
OR
Nicole Kidman - Birth

This is tough. Category wide open. Others could be:

Natalie Portman - Closer
Naomi Watts - Stay
Kate Winslet - Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Jennifer Lopez - An Unfinished Life

BEST SUPP. ACTOR

Peter O'Toole - Troy ***
Hristo Shopov - The Passion of the Christ
Morgan Freeman - An Unfinished Life
Jude Law - The Aviator
Dustin Hoffman - J.M. Barrie's Neverland

I think they'll give it to him because of his career. May be wrong but I'm not sure. Early days.

BEST SUPP. ACTRESS

Maia Morgstern - The Passion of the Christ ***
Meryl Streep - The Manchurian Candidate
Cate Blanchett - The Life Aquatic
Samantha Morton - The Libertine
Catherine Zeta Jones - The Terminal

This one is hard..Zeta-Jones is a dodgy pick..the others should be there, but you never know. Dangers are:

Kirsten Dunst - Eternal Sunshine
Susan Sarandon - Alfie

There u go,
See Yaa

My predicts were my year in advanced. I had Ewan moved to runners up, Hanks (Terminal) in his spot and Redford into my 10-15.

And I am having doubts about Carrey as well, but the film was so, wow, he was so good, it's just a hope (I'm not really a "fan" of his, hes getting pretty annoying; the oscars, i mean, what the hell was that?)

MY OSCAR PREDICTIONS
(Note: Passion isn't on best picture only because it was such a controversial movie I think it would upset people if they nominated it)

BEST PICTURE

Sorry, I accidently pressed enter up above.
(Ahem), now for my oscar nominations

Best Supporting Actress:
Julia Robrts, for Closer
Catherine Zeta Jones, for The Terminal
Meryl Streep, for the Manchurian Candidate
Maia Morgstern, for The Passion of the Christ
Keira Knightly, for King Arthur
AND THE WINNER IS... Catherine Zeta Jones. She's my favourite actress, and her performancen in Chicago was spectacular. Of course, it's still too early to judge her role in this film, but still.

Best Supporting Actor:
Peter O'Toole, for Troy
Morgan Freeman, for The Unfinished Life
Eric Bana, for Troy
Jude Law, for The Aviator
David Carradine, for Kill Bill Vol. 2
AND THE WINNER IS... Eric Bana, mainly because of his proud and emotional acting in Troy. He was truly the best actor in the epic film.

Best Special Affects:
I, Robot
Troy
King Arthur
Spiderman 2
Chronicles of Riddick
The Day After Tommorow
AND THE WINNER IS... The Day After Tommorow! Come on, one look at the trailer and you'd understand.

Best Sound:
Troy
King Arthur
Hero
AND THEW WINNER IS... Troy! The trailer already proved its music's credibility

Best Actress:
Reese Witherspoon, for Vanity Fair
Kate Winslet, for Neverland
Cate Blanchet, for The Aviator
Renee Zellweger, for Cinderella Man
Uma Thurman, for Kill Bill Vol. 2
AND THE WINNER IS... Cate Blanchet! She's a remarkable actress, and deserves the oscar.

Best Actor:
Leonardo De'Caprio, for The Aviator
Owen Wilson, for King Arthur
Jim Carrie, for Eternal Sunshine for a Spotless Mind
Johnny Depp, for Neverland
Tom Hanks, for The Terminal
AND THE WINNER IS... Leonardo De'Caprio! This guy is one of the finest young actors to date, and he looks great in Aviator.

Best Director:
Martin Scorcesee, for The Aviator
Quentin Tarantino, for Kill Bill Vol. 2
Antoine Fuqua, for King Arthur
Mark Forster, for Neverland
Oliver Stone, for Alexander
AND THE WINNER IS... Antoine Fuqua! This may be a shock, but I think that he is a marvelous director and that King Arthur looks incredible, the tint, the mood you feel. I think only he can do something that remarkable.

Best for last...
Best Picture:
The Aviator
Alexander
Eternal Sunshine for the Spotless Mind
King Arthur
Neverland
AND THE WINNER IS... The biggest shock of all, King Arthur! Now, call me crazy but I stated why when I announced that in my opinion Antoine Fuqua should win best director. Plus, the movie looks so real and lie-like that that will make the battle scenes more breathtaking.

Hey, I know it was just brain fart, it happens all the time to everyone everywhere, but its not Owen Wilson, its Clive Owen

btw, cinderella man is pushed back until next march.

BEST PICTURE:
The Aviator
Closer
Flora Plum
The Life Aquatic
Proof

BEST DIRECTOR:
Alexander - Oliver Stone
The Aviator - Martin Scorsese
Closer - Mike Nichols
Flora Plum - Jodie Foster
Proof - John Madden

BEST ACTOR:
Kinsey - Liam Neeson
J.M. Barrie's Neverland - Johnny Depp
The Life Aquatic - Bill Murray
The Terminal - Tom Hanks
The Woodsman - Kevin Bacon

BEST ACTRESS:
Flora Plum - Claire Danes
Kill Bill Vol. 2 - Uma Thurman
The Mother - Anne Reid
Proof - Gwyneth Paltrow
Vanity Fair - Reese Witherspoon

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Closer - Clive Owen
I Heart Huckabees - Dustin Hoffman
Kinsey - Peter Sarsgaard
The Life Aquatic - Owen Wilson
Proof - Anthony Hopkins

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
The Aviator - Cate Blanchett
A Home at the End of the World - Sissy Spacek
The Life Aquatic - Anjelica Huston
The Manchurian Candidate - Meryl Streep
The Stepford Wives - Bette Midler

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The Life Aquatic
Spanglish
The Terminal

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Closer
A Home at the End of the World
The Motorcycle Diaries
Proof
Shopgirl

Dam, Its Been A While.
My First 2005 Nominations Predictions
BEST PICTURE
Alexander
The Aviator
J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Vanity Fair
Proof
Others: The Terminal, The Life Aquatic, Closer & Bad Education
BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio (THE AVIATOR)
Liam Neeson (KINSEY)
Johnny Depp (J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND)
Tom Hanks (THE TERMINAL)
Bill Murray (THE LIFE AQUATIC)
Others: Jude Law (CLOSER), Colin Farrell (ALEXANDER) & Jim Carrey (ETERNAL SUNSHINE ON THE SPOTLESS MIND)
BEST ACTRESS
Gwyneth Paltrow (PROOF)
Nicole Kidman (BIRTH)
Kate Winslet (ETERNAL SUNSHINE ON THE SPOTLESS MIND)
Reese Witherspoon (VANITY FAIR)
Julianne Moore (THE FORGOTTEN)
Others: gulp.. Jennifer Lopez (AN UNFINISHED LIFE), Clare Danes (SHOPGIRL), Naomi Watts (WE DON'T LIVE HERE ANYMORE), Uma Thurman (KILL BILL VOL.2).
BEST SUPP ACTOR
Anthony Hopkins (PROOF/ALEXANDER)
David Carradine (KILL BILL VOL.2)
Peter O'Toole (TROY)
Dustin Hoffman (J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND)
Jim Broadbent (VANITY FAIR)
Others: Morgan Freeman (AN UNFINISHED LIFE), Liev Schreiber (THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE), Stanley Tucci (THE TERMINAL), Paul Bettany (DOGVILLE), Clive Owen (CLOSER)
BEST SUPP ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett (THE AVIATOR/THE LIFE AQUATIC)
Sissy Spacek (A HOME AT THE END OF THE WORLD)
Laura Linney (KINSEY)
Meryl Streep (THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE)
Catherine Zeta-Jones (THE TERMINAL)
Others: Lauren Bacall (BIRTH), Bette Midler (THE STEPFORD WIVES), Naomi Watts (I HEART HUCKABEE'S),Daryl Hannah (KILL BILL VOL. 2) Natalie Portman (CLOSER).
BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scoresese (THE AVIATOR)
Stephen Speilberg (THE TERMINAL)
Olive Stone (ALEXANDER)
John Madden (PROOF)
Pedro Almodovar (BAD EDUCATION)
Others: Marc Forster (J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND), Robert Altman (PAINT), Mike Nichols (CLOSER), Mel Gibson (THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST), Mira Nair (VANITY FAIR), Robert Zemekis (THE POLAR EXPRESS), M. Night Shyamalan (THE VILLAGE) & Bill Condon (KINSEY)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Proof
Closer
A Home At The End Of The World
J.M. Barrie's Neverland
Vanity Fair
Others: Motorcycle Diaries, Shopgirl, Kinsey & We Don't Live Here Anymore.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bad Education
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine On The Spotless Mind
The Terminal
The Life Aquatic
Others: The Village, Dogville & I Heart Huckabee's.
CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Aviator
The Passion Of The Christ
Vanity Fair
Alexander
The Village
Others: The Brothers Grimm, The Phantom Of The Opera & King Arthur
ANIMATED FEATURE
The Polar Express
Shark Tale
The Incredibles
Shrek 2
Home On The Range
OTHER STUFF TO EARLY TO CARE... LOOK FOR VANITY FAIR IN MAKEUP AND COSTUME THOUGH. I DONT SEE 'PASSION' BEING NOMINATED BUT WHAT THE HELL. I HOPE JENNIFER LOPEZ DOESN'T GET NOMINATED.

I think Van Helsing should at least be nominated for special effects. Yeah, it was a popcorn summer flick...but I thought the effects were very engaging. And I really hope Jim Caviezel gets nominated for Passion.

A few changes on my list:Troy and Petersen will not be nominated, but Eric Bana will as leading actor and maybe Sean Bean as supporting.And my list of screenplays:
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
A home at the end of the world
J.M Barrie's Neverland
Motorcycle Diaries*(i don't really think that it will win, but it deserves.I hope that the movie wins the Golden Palm in Cannes)
Proof
Vanity Fair
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Alexander
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine
La Mala Educacion
The Terminal

the chances of TROY getting nominated for Screenplay are so small. critics are bagging THAT PART more than the performances. Bana has recieved the best praise, but nothing tremendous.

Jen, I totally agree. I hope Jim Caviezel is nommed as well.

S8u8k - Troy Screenplay probably wont be nodded, but think about this. No one saw ROTK getting it.

Devin-
Yes, that's true. But that was more 'lets give them 11 out of 11 as payment for all three'. Plus 'Troy' has been released MONTHS before the awards season for '05 and I don't see voters remembering it over other films. 'Eternal Sunshine' on the other hand IS one of those films you would remember throughout the year (for orig. s'play and performances, Kate particularly). I prefer to compare TROY to MATRIX:RELOADED. Everyone thought it would get nominated for SFX when it came out, but yeah...
AND The Passion will only be remembered if it remains one of this years highest earners at the box office. Spiderman, The Day After Tomorrow, Shrek 2 & Harry Potter 3 are all likely to get around the same US$300M mark and over (plus leaving room for dark horses).

I think that Troy will be nominated in the follow categories:
Actor:Eric Bana
Supporting Actor:Peter O'Toole
Cinematography
Art Direction
Costume Design

O'Toole will win.

Bana will not be nominated for lead... his performance was spectacular but he has a better chance at supporting. O'toole's only threat will probablly come from antony hopkins(Alexander or Proof) and Morgan Freemen(Unfinished Life). other than that he's got the nomination at least in the bag...

What about animated movie... the shark tale trailer was just released and it looks hilarious but than you also have Shrek 2 and The Incredibles. Completly different from last year this year we have some major competition for animated movies.

Here are my predictions and picks!
($)-my pick (>)-oscar

Picture:
*The Aviator($)
*Troy
*Vanity Fair(>)
*Alexander
*The Passion of The Christ

Actor:
*Leonardo Dicaprio-The Aviator($)(>)
*Johnny Depp-J.M. Barrie's Neverland
*Bill Murray-The Life Aquatic
*Jim Cavaziel-THe Passion of The Chrst
*Tom Cruise-Collateral

Actress:
*Reese Witherspoon-Vanity Fair(>)
*Gwyneth Paltrow-Proof
*Jennifer Lopez-An Unfinished Life
*Nicole Kidman-Birth
*Salma Hayek-Paint($)

I am SERIOUSLY SUPRISED at the amount of people who see Jim Cavaziel (however you spell it) as on the list for Best Actor. In fact, i'm suprised at all the attention it's getting full stop. Yes, it was a smash at the BO, but critics SLAUGHTERED it. The only part of the movie which wasn't panned too much was the cinematography. But I've been hearing people even putting 'Passion' down for Adapted Screenplay. Get out.
So that's just how I see that issue. I don't see it lasting 'til 2005. However, I am willing to be wrong.:P
Does anyone want to make a bet now that Cate Blanchett will be at least nominated for one category come the 2005 Oscars? Everywhere I go in relation to Awards, I hear her name.

whats this film 'Termnial' never heard of it. hlep plz !! ;]

The Life Aquatic, how come everyones seen that already. i havnt but i will soon as i can cus im HUGE wes anderson fan. i hope he gets nominated for best Director. bottle rocket, tenenbuams and rushmore are all amazing

but how come everyones seen life Aquatic already? is it geuss work?
if u have seen it plz post here what u thought, cheers.

"movie kinda person", The Terminal is directed by Steven Spielberg and stars Tom Hanks and Catherine Zeta-Jones.

to s8u8k

How can you turn down jesus?

thx 'guy from Rio' cheers. ill have to watch it

i think Wes Anderson should get BEST DIRECTOR, i havnt seen Life Aquatic, but tenenbuams, Bottle Rocket and Rushmore are amazing and the man needs more praise for sure.

id like to see jim carrey win for Eternal Sunshine (of the Spotless mind). but as long as wes gets best director im happy :)

How Things Are Looking:

1) Troy. Everyone had huge expectations of this film (myself included) that it was going to be one of the most amazing pieces ever put on the screen, and an excellent follow up to the Lord of the Rings trilogy. Did it accomplish this goal? no. Troy was an interesting piece, but in reality it was nothing more than a popcorn flick... A very long popcorn flick. The script was, frankly, less than it should have been and deffinately won't be nominated for anything. In addition, the acting in Troy was good, but not fantastic, even from Bana and Pitt. No nominations for acting either. Also, Troy wasn't the most amazing thing to look at or extremely well set up. Was it good? Yes, but it was nothing more than a summer flick that will surely dissapear by oscar season.

2) Alexander. There is little out at this point about this movie. It has been getting more and more press lately, but the point of whether or not its actually a great movie is still unknown. However, the cast and director (Ferrel, Kilmer, Jolie, Hopkins, and Stone) certainly give this film a huge advantage over many of the films due out this year. Alexander, as an ensamble cast, has this over films like Troy in that all of the actors are A Class actors, and each can, respectively, carry a film on their own, unlike Troy's bunch of usual supporting actors. In addition, the recent trailer for Alexander gives it a very interesting look, looking more visually stunning than the other Blockbuster movie's this year and of a much higher quality. But, it also shows very little of what is to occur and it has been getting little good reviews as a trailer. Reguardless, Alexander is looking to be this years film to fill Oscars Blockbuster slot. Will it be the next Gladiator? only time will tell.

3. J.M. Barrie's Neverland. Finally, a film less about look and more about feel. With a cast of great actors (see Johnny Depp and Dustin Hoffman), the story of the man who wrote Peter Pan is looking to be a great film and more than likely to fill the Heartwarming slot in the oscar race. With press already saying Depp gives the performance of his life (which is pretty good considering he is seen as one of Hollywoods best), and the loss of the best actor award this previous year (god help me, I even thought he should have won) look for Depp to easily be up for best actor this year, and as I predict at this time be the winner. The only thing holding this film back? Lack of information. Yes, Depp and Hoffman do excellent jobs, but isn't that expected anyway? At this point its hard to tell where it will go, but with so many people saying good things already, don't sell this film short. However, ever heard of another film like it called 'Big Fish"?

4. The Aviator. Ah, the life of a rich man, played by...Leonardo Dicaprio? Am I the only one saying "Uh Oh" to this one? I admit freely that Dicaprio is not the worst actor in Hollywood, in fact he is quite good in some ways. However, I don't believe he can pull off a role this big. But, then again, its directed by Martin Scorcese, who always does a good job. Then again, I seriously doubt he will be able to hold a candel to his opponents in this catagory (names like Stone, Speilberg, and, yes, Gibson). With the additional problem of little support coming in as to how good this film actually is, this film goes a bit more unknown than many are looking at it at this point. Could it be Oscar worthy? Sure. But at this point, I think there are much more likely candidates.

5. Vanity Fair. No. This will not go anywhere, I guarentee it. If you don't believe me, see the trailer. If you still don't, realize that many have said that this film is not going to be as big as was first thought, and the sappy storyline doesnt help anything either. If the film is half as boring as the trailer was, this film will be nothing more than a blip on the Oscar radar. Possible oscar nomination, however, for costume design or screenplay.

6. King Arther. COuld this be good? yes. Will it be as good as Alexander? Doubtful at best. This film has a less than amazing cast and a less than amazing looking storyline. But, it could be good. To me, it looks a lot like Robin Hood: Prince of Theives: A good fun movie with a new take on an old story, but has no chance of winning an oscar. Could be nominated, however, for special effects.

7. Proof. This could easily fill the slot for the catagory of what I call the DIALOGUE catagory, previously filled by Lost in Translation. As someone who has seen a production of Proof, let it be known that it is an excellent story and an excellent character piece, and if it is done right it could easily be an oscar contender. However, the film suffers from two problems: Lack of events and Acting. As far as acting is concerned, I have no fear that Hopkins can pull of the role as Paltrow's (given that she is the main character) math genious father. However, the rest of the cast has me worried slightly, but with the help of Madden's directing any or all of the 4 characters (there's only 4: Hopkins, Paltrow, Gyllenhall, and Davis) to go up for oscars. As far as story goes, little fraknly happens. The entire story takes place at Hopkins house, and the only changes take place in time changes before and after his death. I think that the film could get confusing if this time jump idea occurs on film, and people may find the lack of scenery to boring. However, Proof could easily be an Oscar contender and I wouldnt be supprised if it is nominated in all 4 acting catagories.

8. The Passion of the Christ. Oh, I know many will think I may burn in hell for saying this, but this film will not go up for best picture, nor for acting. As good as a film as it was, it just desn't have that real hit with everyone in the world that it has with the Christian community, and, to be truthful, the Anti-Semeticness people have been claiming (which is stupid as its not anti-semetic, but the claims are still in existance) will seriously hurt it. To say that most of Hollywood is Jewish, may or may not be true, but it is for the most part, and the thought of this movie winning over them when so many other great films are coming out later this year, well, The Passion doesn't stand a chance. As good as it was, it just wasn't good enough, and to be truthful I doubt it could win any year (And I cone from a Christian Houshold!). The only two awards this film could go up for are Director and Cinematography, which I am sure it will.

9. The Terminal. Okay, this may be good (a Hanks/Speilburg combo is rarely bad), but how good? It seems far to hokey to actually be an oscar contender, and hearing Hanks with an accent will be very difficult to believe. None the less, this film could easily go up for director, actor, actress (Zeta-Jones), or Cinematography, but I doubt Best Picture is on the flight plan.

10. Kill Bill Vol. 2. Here's a reality check: NOT A CHANCE IN HELL IN ANY CATAGORY! It was a fun film, but it's not QT's best work. He may get nominated, and his screenplay may to, but I doubt it.

11. Eternal Sunshine on the Spotless Mind. Again, I seriously doubt any nominations in any catagory. It was an interesting and risky film that paid off well, but it came out in the complete wrong time of the year. By oscar season, it will be forgotten. But, then again, it really wasn't all that GREAT in the first place, but it was enjoyable. Look for a Gloden Globe nomination, but no Oscar.

12. The Phantom of the Opera. Where did this come from? I have no idea how or where this is going to go, so I won't even try. Anything could happen with this film, but I will say that it looks weak at this point.

13. The Manchurian Candidate. Bad early reviews = No Way In Hell.

My Predictions (keep in mind, these could change at any time)

* = winner

Best Actor
* Johnny Depp - J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
Tom Hanks - The Terminal
Colin Farrell - Alexander
Geoffrey Rush - The Life and Death of Peter Sellers
Bill Murray - The Life Aquatic
-Interchangeable: Jake Gyllenhall - Proof
James Gandolfini - Romance and Cigarettes
Best Actress
* Gwyneth Paltrow - Proof
Susan Sarandon - Romance and Cigarettes
Cate Blanchet - The Aviator
Natalie Portman - The Smoker
Julianne Moore - The Forgotten

Best Supprt Actor (winner could go anywhere)
Anthony Hopkins - Proof
Val Kilmer - Alexader
Dustin Hoffman - J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
Morgan Freeman - An Unfinished Life
-Interchangeable: Willem Dafoe - The Life Aquatic
Steve Buscemi - Romance and Cigarettes
Christopher Walken - Romance and Cigarettes

Best Supprt Actress (winner could go anywhere)
Hope Davis - Proof
Catherine Zeta-Jones - The Terminal
Kate Winslet - J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
Angelina Jolie - Alexander
Sissy Spacek - A Home at the End of the World

Best Director
* Oliver Stone - Alexander
* Mark Forster - J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
John Madden - Proof
Martin Scorcesee - The Aviator
John Turturro - Romance and Cigarettes
-Interchangeable: Steven Speilburg - The Terminal


Best Picture
* J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
* Alexander
Proof
Romance and Cigarettes
The Aviator
-Interchangeable: A Home At The End Of The World
The Life Aquatic

blake490-
I am not turning down my Jesus (NEVER!!!)
Just a movie which attempted to portray his final hours
and may have caused more harm than awareness. Without getting
into any heated debate from earlier this year, I really
didn't and don't care about this film and I AM religious.
There is no Oscar possibilities whatsoever.
Not only did i turn down Jesus, but Achilles, Sam Hall and Harry Potter too.:P

For the record, I hated the first two Harry Potter films, but I have to request you all see the third film. Strickly because it will be seriously considered for Supp Actor: Gary Oldman rules!!!

s8u8k-
Way to stick with your faith!!!!

Hey,

I've read all the HP Books and they're great =P Only seen the first film though, its strange seeing the films after reading the book, you build pictures of people. Same with others but particularly strong in this, its well written fiction.

Troy will get nothing...besides a few tech nods.

However, everyone seems to be discounting ROMANCE&CIGARETTES - don't...I think it will be the musical to get into the best picture race this year....as well as supporting actress, Kate Winslet - the stills of her look superb.

I don't see Kate getting in for Eternal Sunshine; Neverland...there is some chance...but I doubt it. Romance & Cigarettes will be her one this year.

I don't think that Caviezel has a Oscar worthy performance in The Passion.Not that he was bad, but he's just spanked for 2 hours. If his character wasn't Jesus, i garantee that no one would think that he should be nominated.

carolyn- agreed about Romance and Cigarettes: Winslet, Walken, Sarandon, Buscemi, it's gonna rule!

to s8u8k

I get it! I thought that The Passion of the Christ was the best movie made since Chicago. I know that the whole movie was not pleaing to some people, but its just a movie! Good point though!

to s8u8k

I get it! I thought that The Passion of the Christ was the best movie made since Chicago. I know that the whole movie was not pleaing to some people, but its just a movie! Good point though!

I do not think that Nicole Kidman would pull-off another nomination. She has two, very strong performances this year and that would cause a split on the nomination votes. In the case of Moulin Rouge and The Others, Nicole Kidman was short-listed in the Oscars because of the bandwagon behind Moulin ROuge, from Cannes to the Globes, from NBR to the DGA. Also, there's no more momentum for her. They let her win over Roxie Hart. And Roxie Hart to has just been compensated. But, maybe, I'm wrong; maybe she'd give a hell of performance in Birth. As for the major awards, I do not think that The Passion would get a lot of nomination as many are expecting. The movie's only advantage at this point is it's controversial effect, which, in time soon, would fade when the nomination begins; just like Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful. The Passion, too, in my opinion, is the most preposterously pretentious movie made in years. I do not know what Mel Gibson was thinking. The movie would have been good had it shown love aside from two-hour sadism. Going back to Diane Lane, the performance would have been a frontrunner if not for its early release. As for the chances of Dogville, I think that it would be wishful thinking to runaway with any nomination (with the exception of Nicole Kidman.) The movie is an artfilm and too radical for the Academy.

I think that it is too premature too make predictions, but I think that Bill murray would make it up to Bill Murray and Johnny Depp for their snubb. However, if I were too choose, Murray is my guy. Memorable, affecting performance and so with Scarlett's. For Actress, I think Paltrow would make it and so with Cate Blanchett. However, if Vanity Fair turns out to be really good, Witherspoon would be a runaway. Think of what momentum she is right now. But, wait, Uma and Kate are just around the corner...

As for Director, von Trier won't make it, most surely. Scorsese might, but Spielberg will and so with Michel Gondry.

Best Original Screenplay: Eternal Sunshine, definitely, undoubtfully!

Final Word

Best Director: Spielberg
Actor: Bill Murray
Actress: Witherspoon

J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND

Sorry...

J.M. BARRIE'S NEVERLAND
ALEXANDER
ROMANCE AND CIGARETTES
PROOF
THE AVIATOR

-Best Chances This Year to go up for Best Pic...But Who will take the Prize?

only time will tell

Alexander teaser trailer has been released and it looks pretty cool.

How much are you anticipating...

The Vllage?

The Terminal?

The Aviator?

Alexander?

Closer?

Romance and Cigarettes?

J.M. Barrie's Neverland:?

Proof?

How much are you anticipating...

The Vllage?

The Terminal?

The Aviator?

Alexander?

Closer?

Romance and Cigarettes?

J.M. Barrie's Neverland?

Proof?

ok here the deal, going from the nominations of last year, the predictions were way off. Everyone just knew that Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain,Jennifer Connelly, Tom Cruise, The Last SAmauri, Russell Crowe, Master and Commander, and Anthony Minguella were all going to be nominated. They weren't. So, what im trying to say is, the movies that are "guareenteed" to make the Oscar cut, most likely will barely mke it. Due to next yea, the Academy have obviously changed thier way of voting. Who thought Charlize Theron would be nominated? Then win? So, you not only have tot ink about the big names that are the driving forces of these big movies, you have to think about the little ones to! Such as, from last year, Monster, House of Sand and Fog, In America, Whale Rider, and 21 Grams. SO really, to predict the oscar nominations, you have to do some major research on your upcoming movies! You can't just go fromt he one that are right there, thrown in your face. But, then again, the Academy may slip this year, God i hope not because the surprise is great. Hearing the gasps from the people when Cold Mountain wasn't nominated, and when Djimon Hounosou was nominated, it was great! I hope this most popular is not better.

I saw troy the other day, and was frankly extremely dissapointed. The Main reason for this was because I was expecting one of the greatest epics of our age...far from...."Gosford Park" is more of an Epic. Brad Pitt is usually a decently average actor, but in Troy, he gave no depth to his character unlike Russell Crowe did in Gladiator. So, no chance of a nod for him. But it will get a few nods, i assure you that. These include:

Supporting Actor (O' Toole)
Art Direction (Troy was impressive)
Costumes
Sound (The metallic sound of drawing swords)
Sound Editing
Make - Up/Hair (Brad looked like the "American Werewolf in London")
Editing

I saw "Troy" the other day, and was frankly extremely dissapointed. The Main reason for this was because I was expecting one of the greatest epics of our age...far from...."Gosford Park" is more of an Epic. Brad Pitt is usually a decently average actor, but in Troy, he gave no depth to his character unlike Russell Crowe did in Gladiator. So, no chance of a nod for him. But it will get a few nods, i assure you that. These include:

Supporting Actor (O' Toole)
Art Direction (Troy was impressive)
Costumes
Sound (The metallic sound of drawing swords)
Sound Editing
Make - Up/Hair (Brad looked like the "American Werewolf in London")
Editing

I saw "Troy" the other day, and was frankly extremely dissapointed. The Main reason for this was because I was expecting one of the greatest epics of our age...far from...."Gosford Park" is more of an Epic. Brad Pitt is usually a decently average actor, but in Troy, he gave no depth to his character unlike Russell Crowe did in Gladiator. So, no chance of a nod for him. But it will get a few nods, i assure you that. These include:

Supporting Actor (O' Toole)
Art Direction (Troy was impressive)
Costumes
Sound (The metallic sound of drawing swords)
Sound Editing
Make - Up/Hair (Brad looked like the "American Werewolf in London")
Editing

To: BLake490

Speaking of small movies, I do not think that because movies like In America, The House of Sand and Fog, Whale Rider and so on were nominated considering that other big shots were not does not necessarily mean that the Academy already changed their voting preferences. The reason of the Cold Mountain snubb is simply it didn't turn out as good as everyone as expected. For Nicole Kidman particularly, the Academy had expected a performance stronger or as impressive as her role as Virginia Woolf. Ada Monroe was subtle and didn't have a part just like the train scene in The Hours. AS for The Last Samurai, the answer is very simple. There were other epics last year- LOTR and Master and Commander; forcing the Academy to choose which of those films to be shortlisted. As lack of support, The Lst Samurai didn't make it.

To Ryan Tan:

Im not saying that, particularly that if small movies are not nominated that the big one will, visa-versa, Im just saying that you can't only predict that the bigger movies wil be nominated, and have the best performances. In general, im saying, that we have to also include the smaller movies as equal to the bigger movies. We never predicted that the smaller movies would have been nominated. BUT, I'm not saying that this year it will be different. I was just voicing that it, for me, is better this way. Other people may have different opinions, and th Academy this year, may as well.

fuck u all

I do not think it likely that The Passion of the Christ will recieve a nomination for Best Picture; it is a good film, not a great one.
Best Actor
Jim Cavezial- The Passion of the Christ
Jim Carey- Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind*****
Geoffery Rush- The life and death of peter seller's
Best Supporting Actress
Kate Winslet- Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Best Supporting Actor- Eric Bana- Troy
Jude Law- The Aviator
Paul Bettany- Dogville

To: Blake490

Yes, I agree that the Academy's preference may have changed in the past, but given that there are so many big, really good mocies this year, I think that the Academy wouldn't have to look elsewhere. (Imagine, given The Passion as a not so good movie, but in one way or the other, it still has potential.) I think Jim Carrey and Kate Winslet would be the runaway's. I haven't seen the film yet. I'm from Philippines and screenings in this part of the world are always delayed! However, given their momentum and given that the movie is somewhat of a bittersweet content,I think they would strum the chords of the votes of the majority of the Academy when the season begins.

What do you think?
Also,do you think Kidman would be be shortlisted again?

To Ryan Tan:

You make a very good point. I think Nicole Kidman will be shortlisted again, all of her performances are really good. But its like somethings missing. Its almost as if they are all the same. I think one oscar is enough for her. I honestly think that its Reese Witherspoon's year, along with Leonardo Dicaprio. They always have given great performances in the past, but the performances just haven't made the cut. I think this will give the Acadmy a chance to give them the opportunity. Especially since their movies have a strong chance of being nominated for best picture. But for some reason, Salma Hayek has been mentioned for Paint. Like I said the small movies. What do you think????

To: Blake490

Absolutely, Dicrapio and Witherspoon are great. However, I do not think that the Aviator would click and so with Witherspoon's latest film, Vanity Fair. Scorcese, I think, would turn out to be like Hitchcock and Kubrick, unawarded, yet considered legends of cinema. His definitive moment of chances in Oscar glory was in Gangs of New York, but it somehow the magic just wasn't there. And so it would be really improbable for DiCaprio. Also, he was snubbed in Catch Me If You Can. I do not think there's really that momentum behind him. As for Vanity Fair, the movie really has to be really really that good for Witherspoon to beat Winslet. The advantage of The Eternal Sunshine is it just absorbs you, everything of you, just like Lost in Translation. going back to last year's race, I believe that Lost in Translation was robbed of it's proper place, specially SOFIA COPPOLA. Peter Jackson was just a product of the bandwagon of the trilogy.

As for Kidman, I hope she does well this season. I just hope that she broadens her role selection. She really is one of the best actresses. Regarding the small movies, I still don't think they would have a good year this year. The Academy just had Lost in Translation and they let it slip. I don't think there would be another movie even half as good as LiT was this year. They'd just have to wait for a SOFIA COPPOLA come back.

Do you think Uma Thurman and Tarantino would make it? I really hope that they do. I know vol. 2 is subversive to the Academy's preference, but I think recognition is a must for these two.

i was so disapointed with the academies nominations last year...Lost in translation was horrible... MAster and Comandeer, though one of te better sea movies was still not worthy of being nominated 10 times. Three movies come to my mind and that should have gotten more credit, Big Fish, Last Samurai, and In America and three movie some to my mind that got way to much... LOst in Translation, Seabiscuit and Master and Comandeer

Best Picture should have most definatly been... ROTK, LAst SAmurai, In America, Mystic River amd (21 Grams or Big Fish or American Splendor)

Best Actor should been, Tom Cruise, Paddy Consindine, Sean Penn(MR), Ben Kingsly and Paul Giamatti.

BEst Supp. Actor I had no issues except for Sean Astin being nominated instead of Alec Baldwin.

The Techinical categories made me even for upset, Last Samurai should have been nominated in every techinical categorie and was the only contender with LOTR for score but was still not nominated. Plus how did ROTK not get nominated for Cinemotagraphy... and how did Master and Comander win it... they are just in a boat out in the sea another award that sould have gone to either Last Samurai or LOTR.

I could go on forever but what i am trying to say is that this year's oscars was all politics and it made me very upset and it better change for the better this year

To Ryan Tan:

I really hope the Academy includes Uma Thurman and Quentin Tarentino in thier list!. The movie was great on o the best of this year! It would be awesome! I'll be crossing my fingers!

I agree with The Enternal Sunshine being a really good movie. Ok, but, it for some reason just doesn't ring a bell. Maybe the Academy will disagree with me. Another thing is, the Academy usually doesn't even think about movies that are not released in the fall. For some reason the earlier movies are just overlooked. The makers of Eternal Sunshine should have been thinking a little better about that one.

I know that the chances of Reese and Leonardo walking off with an Oscar are very rare but, I'm still pulling for them!! And of course Salma too (she was snubbed for Frida).

Here's my revised Oscar nomination list:

Best Actress:
>Reese Witherspoon- Vanity Fair
>Kate Winslett- J.M. Barrie's Neverland (sorry no Eternal Sunshine)
>Gwyneth Paltrow- Proof
>Jennifer Lopez- An Unfnished Life (yes, Jennifer Lopez)
>Salma Hayek- Paint

Best Actr:
>Leonardo Dicaprio- The Aviator
>Tom Hanks- The Terminal
>Bill Murray- The Life Aquatic
>Jim Cavizel- The Passion of the Christ
>Tom Cruise- Collateral

If Diane Lane's tour de force performance in Unfaithful was remebered, then it wouldn't be too hard for Eternal Sunshine to be remembered. Looking back at last year's trend, even movies released on December were snubbed (Cold Mountain by Anthony Mingheella starred by Kidman and the bet of Miramax! Yet, Lost in Translation made it.)

Also, imagine this: What if Chicago was released earlier than how, would you say that it wouldn't have won Best Picture then? With Lost in Translation, do you think it wouldn't have been shortlisted last year? I doubt the truth of that theory. It's just that most studios save their blasts near the nomination period and majority of those movies are really superb.

As for Salma Hayek, I think her nomination for Frida was already the pinnacle of her career. It would be very improbable for her to gain another nod from the Academy. Frida Kahlo was the closest she became close to an Oscar.

As for Paltrow, I agree that she most probably be around during the race together with Witherspoon, WINSLET, Kidman, and hopefully, Thurman. I think Lopez is still a joke to the Academy; bad persona, bad publicity.

For Actor: Bill Murray, Johny Depp, Tom Hanks, JIM CARREY, and Tom Cruise.

Do you think CZJ would make it? The Terminal wasn't as good as everyone had expected it to be, but I hope this seasonal acteress makes a return in the race more than Tom Hanks. CZJ is not a really good actress, but give her a role that fits her well and she's nothing but superb. (Velma Kelly!)

For Director: MICHAEL GONDRY/ QUENTIN TARANTINO

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

To: Blake490

if Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful was remembered and recognized, why not a movie like Eternal Sunshine? Eternal Sunshine is a forcet to reckon with.

As for Salma Hayek, I think it's wishful thinking. The closest thing she came to an Oscar was Frida Kahlo. That was the definitive moment of her and she didn't succeed.

The Passion's Caviezel... I think it's some sort of wishful thinking to. There was really not much acting, I believe, behind all the grotesqueries of the movie, especially his thick make-up. If he makes it, why haven't the Orcs in LOTR?

BEST ACTRESS:

WINSLET***
Thurman
Witherspoon
Kidman
Paltrow

BEST ACTOR:

CARREY***
Murray
Hanks
Cruise
Depp

I hope CZJ would also be shortlisted

i have a quaestion for Platypus (he/she is way up^^):
your entry seems to suggest that no movies will be nominated in any categories except costume designs and screenplay. Is this what you meant to say?

**your first entry

nomination previews (***=mypick;

sorry...it didn't work!
ok...

nomination previews (***=mypick;

what's gpomg on?
sorry...it didn't work!
ok...

nomination previews (***=mypick;

sorry...it didn't work!
ok...

nomination previews (***=mypick/

why won't it accept my post?
ok...

nomination previews:
***=mypick;

i give up

If Diane Lane's performance in Unfaithful, a movie which did not garner any other recognition than Lane's, it would be probable that Eternal Sunshine would be more easily recalled. As for Aviator, I do not think it would be as monumental as other Scorcese's films for DiCaprio to be a runaway. Scorcese, as I see it, would be like Kubrick and Hitchcock, superb yet unawarded. Regarding Witherspoon, I think it still is wishful thinking. I saw the trailer of Vanity Fair, and I don't think it comes as close to Shakespeare in Love, Sense and Sensibility, or other period films.

As for Salma Hayek, I do not think she'll get another break as big as her previous one. Frida Kahlo was the role of her lifetime; unluckily she wasn't able to pull it off.

Actress: WINSLET, Paltrow, Thurman, Kidman, Witherspoon (?)

As for Jim Caviezel, I think it would be really preposterous if he gets nominated. I do not believe that you call all those exhibition of grotesqueries acting, nor do you call acting how he twixed his face behind the gore of his make-up. If he would make it, why didn't the Orcs in LOTR?

Actor: CARREY, Cruise, Murray, Hanks, Depp

I just got back from The Terminal. F.Y.I. I may be a tad biased because HAnks in the best (and my personal favorite of all time), but WOW. I dont get some of the reviews it got. I was just smiling and laughing the whole time. Hanks' performance was beyond belief. There's no one like him! Okay, some may think I'm exaggerating, but when you look at The Terminal, then Cast Away, then Saving Private Ryan, the Forrest Gump, then Philadelphia, then Big. I swear, he's a different person in every film. Even Jimmy Stewart wasnt this good. Go see it, it could be a big oscar contender (as far as comedies go)

Two oscar comedies (2004):
The Life Aquatic
The Terminal

Rock on comedies!!!!!!!!

May I just point out that all of you are forgeting about the independant films. Remember how much attention films like 'Lost in Translation, 'Monster' 'Thirteen'and 'In America' received last year. I was fortunate enough to be at this years Sundance Film Festival and I noticed a few peformances that might just slip into the nomination list.

Although I'm not a fan of his (at all) I had to admit that Kevin Bacon was superb in 'The Woodsman'. His peformance as a pedophile might raise a few eyebrows but it is truly his best to date.

This year's most outstanding debut peformance is by Catalina Sandino Moreno in 'Maria Full of Grace'. Incredible film and phenominal acting. Besides, she was tied with Charlize Theron ('Monster', of course) for best actress at the Berlin Film Festival. That has to mean something, right? Also look out for Vera Farmiga in 'Down to the Bone'. Yeah, I haven't heard of her either but she gives a brilliant and totally convincing portrayal as a housewife with a drug addiction. The special jury at Sundance voted her best actress. Well deserved.

As far as the rest of the noms go I predict more or less the same.
PS. As far as Mike Nichol's new film Closer is concerned; I heard Julia Roberts will most probably land support. and Natalie Portman will b get lead. So peoplepredict it the other way around.

First...To Jake.
I am not sure if you have read all of my submissions. Upon reviewing my previous articles, I don't believe I limited any kind of nomination. In fact, I submitted an article on May 27 that gave my picks for what would be nominated (at the time) for Actor, Director, and Picture catagories. If you are referring to my earlier submission in which I explain in some light why many movies may NOT be nominated this year, especially for movies that many people believe should be nominated but are in fact extremely unlikely to do so, than I suggest that you read my later posts to fully understand where I PERSONALLY see catagories being filled this year. If this clears things up a bit, excellent, and if not, please clarify your questions a bit more and I will be more than pleased to fully answer you.

....To continue...

After watching the new trailers for both THE AVIATOR and FINDING NEVERLAND (previously 'J.M. Barrie's Neverland'), Things are really starting to look great for this years Oscar Race. Where I previously believed the now called FINDING NEVERLAND would be the most obvious choice for Oscar, its trailer didn't have the complete and total ...UMPH...that I thought it would have. The Aviator, on the other hand, is looking like it could be another TITANIC (and no, not because of Leo.) It looks like a massive movie, containing both action and drama on a historical background. These themes combined with what appears to be a great cast of top-notch actors and one of the greatest and most deserving directors in Hollywood means this movie may very well walk away with Oscar this year. My question is whether or not NEVERLAND and ALEXANDER will be able to hold a torch to it if the film works as well as it can. When TITANIC came out, it was hugh, and this film looks like it could be another walk away oscar winner. Going against it, of course, are two things:
#1. It might not work. History + General theatre goer= bad ticket sales. Remember PEARL HARBOR? You may not remember it, but before it came out it was thought to be an oscar contender, but when it came out people were distracted by acting flaws and a bad storyline (neither of which personally hurt me, but I still agree it wasn't oscar quality). If things go south, this movie could be a BIG dissapointment. Oh, and don't even get me started with GODS AND GENERALS...
#2. Leo. From the trailers, its hard for me to follow him as Howard Hughes (spell?). The film quality looks good, and the supporting cast looks great, but Leo is the deciding point. Personally, Leo was the only reason I hated GANGS OF NEW YORK, and since his performance wasn't good there, he could easily go down here, once again under Scorcesee's eyes.

BEST PICTURE
1. Alexander
2. The Aviator
3. Bad Education
4. Closer
5. Finding Neverland
*Proof
*Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Pedro Almodovar - Bad Education
2. Marc Forster - Finding Neverland
3. Mike Nichols - Closer
4. Martin Scorcese - The Aviator
5. Oliver Stone - Alexander
*Steven Spielberg - The Terminal

BEST ACTOR
1. Johnny Depp - Finding Neverland
2. Colin Farell - Alexander
3. Gael Garcia Bernal - Bad Education
4. Kevin Kline - De-Lovely
5. Jude Law - Closer
*Kevin Bacon - The Woodsman
*Jim Carrey - Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
*Liam Neeson - Kinsey

BEST ACTRESS
1. Nicole Kidman - Birth
2. Gwyneth Paltrow - Proof
3. Natalie Portman - Closer
4. Uma Thurman - Kill Bill Vol.2
5. Kate WinsleT - Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
*Catalina Sandino Moreno - Maria, llena eres de gracia
*Julianne Moore - Freedomland

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. David Carradine - Kill Bill Vol.2
2. Morgan Freeman - An Unfinished Life
3. Anthony Hopkins - Proof
4. Peter O'Toole - Troy
5. Clive Owen - Closer
*Ryan Gosling - Stay
*Tom Wilkinson - Eternal Sunshine...


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Lauren Bacall - Birth
2. Cate Blanchet - The Aviator
3. Hope Davis - Proof
4. Laura Linney - Kinsey
5. Naomi Watts - I 'Heart' Huckabees
*Julia Roberts - Closer
*Sissy Spacek - Home at the End of the World
*Meryl Streep - The Manchurian Candidate

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Closer
2. Home at the End of the World
3. Finding Neverland
4. Kinsey
5. Proof
*We Don't Live Here Anymore

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Alexander
2. The Aviator
3. Bad Education
4. Eternal Sunshine...
5. I 'Heart' Huckabees
*Garden State
*The Life Aquatic

To Ryan Tan:

I hope CZJ is nominated. She is one of the most underatted actresses. Everything she does is great. Tom Hanks Im really not so sure.I really don't carea bout him, at all.

BEST ACTRESS:
Natalie Portman - Closer

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Julia Roberts - Closer

Well, according to early reviews, that's the way it should be.

At this stage THE AVIATOR looks like the one to beat - nominations should include Best Picture, Director (Martys turn), Actor and Actress (Cate Blanchett).
Watch out though for THE LAST SHOT, which is getting very good buzz and also has an excellent trailer.
Of the other Best Picture nominees, perhaps THE LIFE AQUATIC, ETERNAL SUNSHINE and NEVERLAND.(not sure about ALEXANDER, may be compared too much to TROY.

Well, I don't know about all the categories, but i know that Nicole Kidman will be nominated for Dogville!

Also, Lars von Trier will be surely overlooked and Troy will get to much attention!

I think that the Passion will pass bad, and that Fahrenheit 9/11 will be a huge success!

I just wanna know if Brad or the other people that posted really think that Jennifer Lopez really has a chance of getting a nomination for an Oscar for the movie An Unfinished Life or Shall We Dance

*I think deserves to win.

BEST PICTURE
1. Proof
2. The Aviator
3. Young Adam*
4. Closer
5. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST ACTOR
1. Ewan McGregor- Young Adam* or Stay*
2. Leonardo DiCaprio- The Aviator
3. Tom Hanks- The Terminal
4. Jim Carrey- Eternal Sunshine5. Jude Law - Closer

BEST ACTRESS
1. Reese Witherspoon
2. Tilda Swinton- Young Adam*
3. Natalie Portman - Closer
4. Uma Thurman - Kill Bill Vol.2
5. Kate Winslet - Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. David Carradine - Kill Bill Vol.2*
2. Morgan Freeman - An Unfinished Life
3. Jim Broadbent- Vanity Fair
4. Ryan Gosling- Stay
5. Clive Owen - Closer

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Lauren Bacall - Birth
2. Cate Blanchet - The Aviator
3. Hope Davis - Proof
4. Emily Mortimer- Young Adam*
5. Naomi Watts - I 'Heart' Huckabees

As you can see, Im a huge fan of Young Adam.
Think Ewan deserves a nod for it after being sadly left out for Moulin Rouge.

Actor:
Jim Cavezial (The Passion of the Christ)
Jum Carey (Eternal Sunshine of the spotless mind). Oscar
Colin Farrell(Alexander)
Tom Hanks(The Terminal)
Geoffrey Rush(The Life and Death of Peter Sellers)

Actress:
Nicole Kidman (Dogville)
Reese Witherspoon- Vanity Fair
Julia Roberts- Closer
Jennifer Lopez- An Unfinished Life Oscar
Salma Hayek- Paint

Supporting Actor:
Eric Bana- Troy
Anthony Hopkins(Alexander)
Jude Law- The Aviator
Hristo Shopov(The Passion)
Jim Broadbent- Vanity Fair

Supporting actress:
Cate Blanchett(The Aviator)*
Kirsten Dunst- Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MInd
Maia Morganstein- The Passion of the Christ*
Sissy Spacek- A home at the end of the world
Catherine Zeta-Jones(The Terminal)

Lee Hernandez rocks!!!! I totally agree with everythng! GO Jennifer Lopez!

Lee Hernandez rocks!!!! I totally agree with everythng! GO Jennifer Lopez!

OOPS...SORRY FOR THAT!

Troy for best picture? Have you seen it? It should be up for every razzie!

movie:
the aviador
finding neverland(winner)
vanity fair
closer
the life aquatic


director:
the aviador(winner)
finding neverland
vanity fair
the life aquatic
eternal sunshine of.....


actor:
jim carrey -eternal sunshine of...
jammie fox - ray (winner)
johnny depp -finding neverland
colin farrell - alexander
Billy Crudup - Stage Beauty

actress:
kate winslet- eternal sunshine of...(winner)
Reese Witherspoon - Vanity Fair
Julia Roberts - Closer
Claire Danes - Stage Beauty
Nicole Kidman - Birth


supporting actor:
Dustin Hoffman - finding Neverland
clive owen -closer (winner)
Jude Law - The Aviator
jim broadbent-vanity fair
Anthony Hopkins - Alexander


supporting actress:
kate blanchett -the life aquatic (winner)
kate winslet - finding neverland
Laura Linney - Kinsey
Julie Christie - finding Neverland
Natalie Portman - Closer

Okay, here are some nominations of my own for this upcoming year.... winners in CAPS

Best Picture
The Life Aquatic
Alexander
FINDING NEVERLAND
The Aviator
Vanity Fair or Closer

still in the running
The Passion of the Christ
Eternal Sunshine
The Terminal
Life and Death of Peter Sellers

Best Director
MARTIN SCORCESE (He should have won a few times by now)-The Aviator
Oliver Stone-Alexander
Wes Anderson-The Life Aquatic
Michel Gondry-Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Steven Spielberg-The Terminal

still in the running...
Mike Nichols-Closer

Best Actor
JIM CARREY-Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Tom Hanks-The Terminal
Geoffrey Rush-The Life and Death of Peter Sellers (This movie looks AWESOME)
Bill Murray-The Life Aquatic
Johnny Depp-Finding Neverland

still in the running...
Leonardo Dicaprio-The Abiator
Jim Caviezal-The Passion
Colin Farrell-Alexander
Kevin Kline-De-Lovely

Best Actress
KATE WINSLETT-Eternal Sunshine of the Spoltess Mind
Reese Witherspoon-Vanity Fair
Nicole Kidman-Birth (or Dogville)
Laura Linney-Kinsey
Meryl Streep-The Manchurian Candidate

still in the running....
Julia Roberts-Closer
Naomi Watts- I "heart"Huckabbees

I know its still ealry, but, these are my predictions for the main categories. I truly believe Jim Carrey will get the recognition he deserves

I agree with Stephanie, Troy will not get a Best Picture nod. Peter O'Toole has a good chance of winning Supp. Actor, though. And I haven't heard anyone here mention Tom Cruise for best actor in Collateral. Hopefully he'll get a long deserved Oscar.

does any one know when oscarcentral.com will have its next updates? if u haven't heard of the site it is a really good one for oscar predictions but for some reason it hasn't been updated since its MArch predictions

the Emmys snubbing the amazing show Deadwood just proves that anything can happen with award shows. i see Mel Gibson getting at least a nod for Passion. havent seen it yet but its on my list. my faves are Kill Bill and Eternal Sunshine. THAT movie was amazing. the first half had me wondering about Charlie's motivations but the 2nd half had me. as much as i love Jim Carrey i dont see him getting any recognition for this one. i would LOVE Johnny Depp to get at least a nod for anything he does. it would be great for him to finally win. Leo Dicaprio isnt even getting a nod. hes not that versatile an actor. and i dont see The Terminal doing that well either. MAYBE Tom Hanks a nod. and Troy, i dont see crap for that. screw King Arthur, that looks so pathetic. it would be nice for Scorcese to finally win after 30 years of misery, and maybe theyll finally give him a sympathy oscar. Peter O'Toole has been nominated for 45 years with no win. but so was Cary Grant, he neither won anything. Spielberg already has 2, thats enough. Alexander is going to have a lot of homosexuality in it, since Alex the Great was i gay. i wonder how much fun Oliver Stone is going to have with that. Nicole Kidman is a goddess to me, i hope she gets everything. Aviator pisses me off. Christopher Nolan (director of MEMENTO) was SUPPOSED to be making a film about the last half of the life of Howard Hughes, when he got REALLY messed up, staring none other than the God Jim Carrey. this ive been waiting for forever, now its out of production. anyway.

dr. gonzo sucks!

The Aviator is going to be a great movie. The eternal Sunshine crap of a movie, isn't going to do anything. Just maybe one for jim carrey, and thats just because he's been snubbed in the past, and Alexander won't do crap. But Nicole is a goddess.

what kind of a name is "gonzo"?

My has everyone forgotten Emmy Rossum for Best Actress for her role as Christine in Phantom of the Opera? Buzz is growing that she could be the surprise of the Oscars.

This will be the year of the Foreign Films - the likes of Judi Dench and Audrey Tautou will shine come Oscar season for their submissions in "Ladies in Lavender" as well as "A Very Long Engagement." The nominees in the top 8:

Best Picture:
The Aviator
Closer
Ladies in Lavender
Proof
Spanglish

Best Director:
The Aviator – Martin Scorsese
Closer – Mike Nichols
Ladies in Lavender – Charles Dance
Proof – John Madden
A Very Long Engagement – Jean-Pierre Jeunet

Best Actor:
Beyond the Sea – Kevin Spacey
Closer – Jude Law
Finding Neverland – Johnny Depp
Kinsey – Liam Neeson
Ray – Jamie Foxx

Best Actress:
Ladies in Lavender – Judi Dench
Proof – Gwyneth Paltrow
Stage Beauty – Claire Danes
Vanity Fair – Reese Witherspoon
A Very Long Engagement – Audrey Tautou

Best Supporting Actor:
Closer – Clive Owen
I Heart Huckabees – Dustin Hoffman
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou – Willem Dafoe
Proof – Jake Gyllenhaal
Proof – Anthony Hopkins

Best Supporting Actress:
The Aviator – Cate Blanchett
Finding Neverland – Kate Winslet
Kinsey – Laura Linney
Proof – Hope Davis
Spanglish – Tea Leoni

Best Original Screenplay:
The Aviator
Goodbye, Lenin!
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou
Vera Drake
Spanglish

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Closer
Proof
Ladies in Lavender
Stage Beauty
A Very Long Engagement

I am in agreement with several of the people who have posted in the last weeks, but in other ways I am in complete disagreement. First, neither Catherine Zeta-Jones or Jennifer Lopez will be nominated this year. CZJ wont because she was in reality the largest failure that existed in The Terminal, and J-Lo wont because she needs to quit trying to act and go back to being a "fly-girl" dancer. While I am speaking of movies that probably won't be nominated, Dogville, King Arthur, and The Passion have little to no chance of surviving the upcoming Oscar season.
I agree with Dr. Gonzo (I assume, as it was asked, that "Dr. Gonzo" refers to Benicio Del Toro's character from the Gilliam movie FEAR AND LOATHING IN LAS VEGAS, from Hunter S Thompson's book of the same title.) that Troy will most certainly be overlooked this year. In fact, I can't figure out why people think it could be nominated for anything. It was a summer blockbuster that did not reach the level of greatness it could have. And as far as the great Peter O'Toole is concerned, his performance was not in any way spectacular. GET OVER TROY.
Now, as far as ETERNAL SUNSHINE is concerned, Please people, accept that it will not be nominated for or win any acting awards or Best Picture. I will admit that the film was unique and enjoyable, and It may be your favorite movie this year, but It is not a Major catagory contendor. However, I would not be surprised if it goes up for a Screenplay award or a Cinematography award. The film was not the major kind of movie that the Oscar voters will give their support to, and it is being drowned out by its unfortunate early year release. Don't hold your hoped to high for this movie.
The Aviator is scaring me, I freely admit it. I wrote in an earlyer submission that it would probably be the movie to beat this year (though I still deep down think FINDING NEVERLAND will be the winner), but after watching more and more on the film, my greatest fear for it looks to be coming true. Although the look and feal make it look like it will be fantastic, Dicaprio looks to be in full on crap mode, acting with such a terrible accent its hard for me to take a single word he says seriously. this could be a major problem if what appears to be another Dicaprio failure comes true, as I agree that this film otherwise looks good and there's nothing I would like to see more that to see Scorcese, one of the industry's best and most deserving directors, get a long over due Oscar. But if Leo makes this another GANGS OF NEW YORK, look for Forster, Madden, Stone or ever Turturro to step into place.
As its a new entry, I will say that RAY, with Jamie Foxx does look very good. look for this film to get larger and larger by the time Oscar season begins.
In all, I agree with CAROLYN's submission the most. At this point, this looks to be the most likely list of nominees. However, I don't believe this year will be the "YEAR OF FORIGN FILMS" and I would replace LADIES IN LAVENDER with FINDING NEVERLAND and SPANGLISH and CLOSER with something like ROMANCE AND CIGARETTES, RAY, or THE LIFE AQUATIC.
Well, thats it for now. Comment away.

I´m seeing that more of your are ingnored The Passion, specially in best director. The work of Mel Gipson is better than other director, specially Petersen in Troy. Maia Morgsten, Hristo Shopov and, of course, Caviezal, must be in the definitive list. Don´t forget Von Trier and Shyamalan

For Alex:
Yes, The Passion is very ignored! It has the best directoral technique, as any other.
And for Platypus:
Jennifer Lopez, actually, is one of the top contenders for a best actress nom. Forget about all the other cheesy romantic comedies she's done in the past, you can't compare those movies, to this one. Think about her role in Selena, and how deserving it was of a nom. But I do agree that CJZ, isn't going to get a nom this year. Unfortunately, she was one of the biggest dissapointments of The Terminal. I honestly think that The Terminal was one of the biggest dissapointments. Finally! Someone with since! Eternal Sunshine doesn't even have a chance! For anything! Its early release alone, cut its chances in half. Jim Carrey obviously isn't very liked by the academy, hence his past nominations. And lastly, The Aviator. The chances of this movie becoming the huge oscar success its supposed to be, decreases each day. The oscar hopeful's momentum is dying by the hour. I think it will be the "Cold Mountain", of this year.
Blake490 out.

blake490 - get your head out of the clouds (regarding your Lopez comments).

Carolyn - possibly the most logical list around > good stuff

alex - don't be stupid (regarding Mel Gibson and "Passion")

Whoever nominated Eric Bana for Troy was really stupid, really.
This is the academy, not MTV. Why don't you just give Drew Barrymore a chance for that lame assed 50 first dates while your at it!

s8u8k & all the other jennifer lopez and the passion haters:

yall need to realize good work when it happens...and the passion was good work. I haven't seen her performance yet, but from recent reviews and buzz, it sounds like jennifer lopez, is a good bet.

We are not (or at least I'm not) saying THE PASSION was a "bad" work, I'm just saying it isn't going to go up for many Awards. Films about religion are hard to swallow in Hollywood, and a film with a such a blatant messege (not anti-semetic, but the whole Jesus being the savior thing) being displayed will be hard to get people to vote for. Many people in the world don't believe Jesus is what Christians believe him to be, and therefore wouldn't allow a movie clearly stating this opinion to go up for any major awards. The question of whether or not the PASSION is good isn't why it will not be nominated for any major awards (acting, directing, picture), but the subject matter plays a large part. The PASSION is certainly considerd one of the best films of the year by the Christian community, but not by many others. This is due to the lack of faith in what the film is showing, thus making the movie a very well shot film about someone being tortured and eventually killed. Was the film well done, ABSOLUTELY, and any rational person would tell you that reguardless of their faith or opinions. But its worth as a film is destroyed by the questionable subject matter, and Hollywood won't allow it to be nominated for not only press reasons, but also backlash for their decisions, both if it wins or loses. There are groups extremely for and extremely against this film, and neither has a commanding or overwhelming position, and therefore the film cannot be allowed to be nominated for reasons of its loss or win.

Also, as a side note, Mel Gibson and the films cast have said many times that they did not make THE PASSION to win ANY awards, but because they wanted to make a film for those in their faith and thouse with questions about themselves. The only people who are fanatic about this film are those who love it and those that hate it, and they are the only people who care if it wins or not.

As for Jennifer Lopez, Blake490, I will lay down my sword against her if she can prove herself once the time comes. Till that time, I have little to no faith in her work as an actress (agreed though, she did very well in Selena) and I cannot in all seriousness believe her to be a contender. But who knows, she could do something amazing. But untill that time, she is not included in my list of who I PERSONALLY think will be nomiated this year. As you say though, she has been getting good press for her work this year, and thus she is still floating as a fill in.

Till next time.

(The Aviator = Cold Mountain = Good Possibility)

platypus:

Good reasoning. Thanks for not being biased.

I think that Natalie Portman will definately get nominated for Closer and Garden State.

Platypus:
Yes, you said that the Passion may not like to many people because it´s only like to the christian comunity. I´m Spanish, a christian mayority population country, but i'm a not believer and i think The Passion is a very good film. Maybe the story we see in this film it´s a lie, maybe it´s real, but the film, the direction, the cast, the screenplay,etc can be in the list.

S8u8k:
I´m not a stupid, i just said what i think. If you don´t like The Passion, J-Lo or whatever you want, this is not my problem. See Platypus. He/She say us his/her reasons with respect. Don't forget it.

I forget one thing, but you will not do the same. Pedro Almodovar and Gael Garcia Bernal may be in the list, what do u think about this??? Answer me

Pedro Almodovar, the Academy Award winning and nomiated Director of TALK TO HER (he won for Screenplay, but lost for Director) has chances again in being nomiated for his new film 'BAD EDUCATION' (aka 'La Mala educación'). However, Almodovar's new film is not getting the kind of response his previous film did, and from what I have been hearing and seeing on the film, I doubt its ability to be nomiated for the really major awards this year. For whatever reason, his new film doesn't have the power his previous film held. I would say however that Almodovar could have a chance in the catagories of Forign Film and Screenplay. We'll see what happens.

Gael Garcia Bernal, best known for his work in 2001's Y TU MAMA TAMBIEN and AMORES PERROS (or at least that's where I know him from...) has a chance this year for going up for Both Supporting and Best Actor catagories. Bernal will be appearing in two films this year: DOT THE I, Matthew Parkhill's film about a woman who begins an affair with a man (Bernal) she meets the day before her wedding and the attempt to cover it up, and THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES, which stars Bernal as a young Che Guevara on a road trip through South America that will inspire him to become the famous revolutionary. Betwen the films, Bernal could be nominated for Supporting Actor for DOT THE I (depending on the size of his role) and Best Actor for THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES. However, the press for DOT THE I is nowhere near what THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES is, so I wouldnt get my hopes up as much for it. If you are a Bernal fan, I would say THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES is the film to cross your fingers for.

Till Next Time.

The Previous Comment to Álex was from me.

I can't do this two years in a row, I'm off to film school you fucks.

P.S. Troy for best picture you're a moron, bloggerman.

i think there no other movies better than THE LORD OF THE RINGS TRILOGY.
that's all thank you!!

hi to all

im here to add what joe says
im also the crazy fans of the LORD OF THE RINGS. I get crazy if i dont open my video every day. All the days of my life im always seeing Lord of the Rings 1.2.3 and all of these. This is one of part in my life.

Joe, Melissa-

Get a life. Lord of the Rings was not the best film ever made. It's a film of special effects. It's an action film. It's entertaining. It's not the best film ever made. Go get a life.

Chris,
But the Oscar and most of the critics recognized the fantasy now due to the LOTR. iTS NOT ONLY A fantasy. IT is a movie that captures our heart and the all the chemistry there are set in emotionally beautifully great directing. People get mad of it.

I agree that LOTR is a great fantasy legend as well as a wonderfully displayed and brilliantly edited movie that was launched upon the big screen. Saying this it is also old news. It swept the oscars by winning all 11 of the academy awards it was nominated for. But what about next year. What surprises await us. Let's hear some more predictions.

Thank Mesoscrotania for making that wonderful suggestion! I believe, that Vanity Fair is going to be on of the biggest oscar suprises whe it comes to nominations! I hope Vanity Fair does to Reese as it did to Nicole Kidman in Moulon Rouge! But hopefully this time she won't get snubbed...just as Nicole was with Halle. All do respect to Halle Berry. Now, as for Gwyneth, I doubt she'll get a nomination...its a gut feeling I have. Same with Nicole Kidman. But for some odd reason, my heart is saying SALMA SALMA SALMA, for Paint. I really really really want her to get nominated, she was snubbed for frida!

WWHAT DO YALL THINK?

*=winner/ **=deserves it/ #=both deserving and i can't decide

Picture-
Collateral**
Aviator*
Alexander
Vanity Fair
Bad Education

Director-
Mann- Colatteral#
Scorcesce- Aviator#
Almodovar- Bad Education
Stone- Alexander
Foster- Neverland

Actor-
Cruise- Collateral#
Depp- Neverland#
Decaprio-Aviator
Gael Garcia Bernal- Bad Education
Farell- Alexander

Actress-
Witherspoon- Vanity Fair*
Paltrow- Proof
Winslet- Sunshine or Neverland
Kidman- Birth
Thurman- Kill Bill 2 **

Supp Actor-
Peter O'toole- Troy
Jamie Foxx- Collateral*/**
Anthony Hopkins- Proof or Alexander
Morgan Freeman- An Unfinished Life
Hoffman- Neverland

Supp Actress-
Cate Blanchet will win

Orig Screenplay-
Sunshine** (will prob. get snubbed)
Aviator*
Bad Education**
Collatteral
Life Aquatic

Adap. Screenplay-
Proof
Neverland
Vanity Fair*
Closer
Harry Potter and the prisoner for azkaban



This is open for discussion and if u like criticism.

Here are my picks for the nominations, can't really decide who will win:

Best Picture:
The Aviator
Alexander
Finding Neverland
Proof
The Terminal

Director:
Scorsese (The Aviator)
Oliver Stone (Alexander)
Marc Foster (Finding Neverland)
Stephen Spielberg (The Terminal)
Mike Nichols (Closer)

Actor:
DiCaprio (The Aviator)
Johnny Depp (Finding Neverland)
Colin Farell (Alexander)
Liam Neeson (Kinsey)
Tom Hanks (The Terminal)

Actress:
Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof)
Reese Witherspoon (Vanity Fair)
Nicole Kidman (Birth)
Jennifer Lopez (An Unfinished Life)
Kate Winslet (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind)

Sup. Actor:
Peter O'Toole (Troy)
Anthony Hopkins (Alexander)
Morgan Freeman (An Unfinished Life)
Jaimee Foxx (Collateral)
Stanley Tucci (The Terminal)

Sup. Actress:
Cate Blanchett (The Aviator)
Meryl Streep (The Manchurian Candidate)
Lauren Bacall (Birth)
Sissy Spacek (A Home at the End of the World)
Laura Linney (Kinsey)

I made a couple of screw ups in the director and supp actor categories of my predictions...I don't know what i was thinking...(goes along with my post above




Supp Actor-(The Changed)
O'toole- Troy
Foxx-Collateral#
Hopkins-Proof or Alexander
Jim Broadbent- Vanity Fair
David Carradine- Kill Bill vol. 2#

Director- (The Changed)
Mann- Colatteral#
Scorcesce- Aviator#
Almodovar- Bad Education
Stone- Alexander
Quentin Tarantino- Kill Bill 2#

I made a list last May, and now I've grown wiser. Here's my new list.

*Win ^close to it

BEST PICTURE